CNN Chief Data Analyst Harry Enten looks at what might happen if the GOP outperforms September polling.

Also, Larry Sabato, director of UVA's Center for Politics, unveils his new midterm election forecast, which heavily favors Democratic nominees.

0:00 GOP outperformed September polls in 2024 and 2018
2:11 What the Senate map would look like if polls are wrong
3:33 New election forecasts shift 4 states to Democrats
5:55 Will the GOP fundraising advantage make a difference?

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